豪豬策略

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最近,中国在台湾附近发起了咄咄逼人的、前所未有的军事演习,以回应美国众议院议长南希-佩洛西对这个中国声称是其领土一部分的岛屿的访问。

关于豪猪战略


整体防御概念

2017年被台湾采用,时任台湾军队总司令的李喜明将其称为 "整体防御概念"(ODC)。

不对称战争

由美国海军战争学院研究教授威廉-S-默里在2008年提出的 "豪猪学说 "是一种非对称战争战略,其重点是加固一个弱国的防御,利用敌人的弱点,而不是利用其优势。

它是关于建立防御,以确保台湾可以被攻击和破坏,但不会被打败,至少没有不可接受的高成本和高风险。

豪猪方针中的三个防御层

外层是关于情报和侦察,以确保国防部队有充分的准备。

在这背后是由美国提供的先进飞机进行空中支援的海上游击战计划。

最里面的一层是依靠岛屿的地理和人口状况。

目标

这一理论的最终目标是在空中进攻中生存和吸收,足以组织一道火墙,阻止中国人民解放军(PLA)成功入侵。


需要这样一个战略吗?


中国对台湾享有压倒性的军事优势

中国已经开发了精确得多的武器系统来对付台湾,并且一直在大声疾呼要将该岛与大陆 "统一 "起来。

有限度地首先使用核武的新战略

这将使中国领导人能够阻止美国对台湾战争的干预。

中国领导人很可能将2020年作为解放军发展入侵台湾所需能力的关键里程碑。

为了实现这一目标,近二十年来,解放军系统地计划、训练和建设它认为入侵该岛所需的部队。


 In News


Recently, China launched aggressive and unprecedented military exercises near Taiwan in response to US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit to the island that China claims as part of its territory.

About porcupine strategy


Overall Defence Concept 

It was adopted by Taiwan in 2017 when Lee Hsi-Ming, then-chief of the Taiwanese military forces, referred to it as the "Overall Defence Concept" (ODC).

Asymmetric warfare 

The “porcupine doctrine”, which was proposed in 2008 by US Naval War College research professor William S Murray, is a strategy of asymmetric warfare focused on fortifying a weak state’s defences to exploit the enemy’s weaknesses rather than taking on its strengths.

It is about building defences that would ensure that Taiwan could be attacked and damaged but not defeated, at least without unacceptably high costs and risks.

Three defensive layers in the porcupine approach

The outer layer is about intelligence and reconnaissance to ensure defence forces are fully prepared.

Behind this come plans for guerrilla warfare at sea with aerial support from sophisticated aircraft provided by the US.

The innermost layer relies on the geography and demography of the island.

Objective

The ultimate objective of this doctrine is that of surviving and assimilating an aerial offensive well enough to organise a wall of fire that will prevent the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) from successfully invading.


Need for such a strategy?


China enjoys overwhelming military superiority over Taiwan

China has developed far more accurate and precise weapon systems to target Taiwan and has been vocal about its intention to “reunite” the island with the mainland.

New strategy of limited nuclear first use

It would enable Chinese leaders to deter US intervention in a war over Taiwan.

Chinese leaders likely set 2020 as a key milestone for the PLA to develop the capabilities needed to invade Taiwan. 

To achieve this goal, for nearly two decades the PLA has systematically planned, trained, and built the forces it believes are required to invade the island.

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