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给战争一个机会

安全 |  外交事务
礼貌路透社

过早的和解

一个经常被忽视的令人不快的事实是,尽管战争是一个大恶,但它确实有一个很大的优点:它可以解决政治冲突并导致和平。当所有交战方都筋疲力尽时,或者当一方取得决定性胜利时,就会发生这种情况。无论哪种情况,关键是战斗必须继续,直到达成决议。战争只有在经过暴力的高潮阶段后才能带来和平。军事成功的希望必须减弱,才能使和解比进一步的战斗更有吸引力。

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一个经常被忽视的令人不快的事实是,战争虽然是大恶,但它确实有很大的好处:它可以解决政治冲突并导致和平。当所有交战方都筋疲力尽或当一个人取得决定性胜利时,就会发生这种情况。无论哪种方式,关键是战斗必须继续,直到达成解决方案。只有在经历了暴力的高潮阶段后,战争才会带来和平。军事成功的希望必须破灭,和解才会变得比进一步战斗更有吸引力。

自联合国成立以来大国政治在其安全领域的地位


Give War a Chance

By Edward N. Luttwak

July/August 1999

Published on July 1, 1999

Security | Foreign Affairs

Courtesy Reuters

PREMATURE PEACEMAKING


An unpleasant truth often overlooked is that although war is a great evil, it does have a great virtue: it can resolve political conflicts and lead to peace. This can happen when all belligerents become exhausted or when one wins decisively. Either way the key is that the fighting must continue until a resolution is reached. War brings peace only after passing a culminating phase of violence. Hopes of military success must fade for accommodation to become more attractive than further combat.


Since the establishment of the United Nations and the enshrinement of great-power politics in its Security

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