鉴于近年来该地区发生的战争太多而且持续时间太长，中东地区是否已经无法修复？基础设施、社会甚至历史遗迹都遭到破坏，无法修复。这会阻碍中东的大部分地区吗？
不，有一个不为人知的公开秘密。
中国在伊拉克的“重建”角色可以作为多年冲突后叙利亚的模板| 萨巴哈特汗 | AW
北京在巴比伦大火中招手| 数据中心 | 08.10.2019
这是怎么回事？
让我们用叙利亚来更好地理解。
在过去的 9 年里，叙利亚经历了广泛的破坏和战争蹂躏这个国家。房屋、医院、道路、学校等等都被摧毁，使叙利亚倒退了几个世纪（更不用说几年了）。
城市废墟中的叙利亚民兵
许多人住在没有现代管道的帐篷城市。
叙利亚北部叙利亚难民营的儿童
虽然这是一个可怕而悲惨的情况，但这对许多行业来说也是一个巨大的福音，正如我们在上面的头条新闻中看到的那样。叙利亚因战乱缺乏重建能力。它不再具有建造或制造能力。
其他国家认为这是他们为其行业赢得数百亿美元收入的机会。
想象一下繁荣
- 一家俄罗斯建筑公司赢得了一份价值 500 万美元的合同，用于建造一所学校
- 一家伊朗公司获得了一份价值 300 万美元的合同，为学校提供课桌、椅子和书籍。
伊朗囚犯制作木制品
- 一家中国公司获得了一份价值 100 万美元的合同，为学校提供计算机等技术。
现在有人可能会问：
“好的，但是等等。钱从哪里来？
- 税收
显然，叙利亚仍将让叙利亚人纳税。虽然这还不够。
- 贷款。
我敢肯定，伊朗和俄罗斯可以为叙利亚向公司付款，然后叙利亚可以以这种或那种方式偿还债务。如果叙利亚同意修建伊朗-地中海高速公路，伊朗可能会免除 50 亿美元的债务。
- 援助
阿联酋支持阿萨德的行动为时已晚。它可以通过支付合同费用来讨好叙利亚政府。
尽管这可能无法解决所有问题，但这就是原因：
自然资源也将发挥作用
叙利亚的油田
我们看到土耳其的提议，它和俄罗斯通过以下方式分享重建蛋糕：
埃尔多安提议俄罗斯和土耳其占领叙利亚的油田，然后自己出售石油，并将这笔钱捐给正在重建叙利亚的本国公司。
所以你有它
中东总会修好，看赚多少钱。
我同意从技术上讲，这些东西至少可以部分修复，但不会花费太长时间，而且由于爆发和叛乱仍在发生（并且可能会继续发生），重建项目的大部分不会是零散的和扩展的未来几年）如果不停止重建叙利亚的进程，哪一个会大大减缓？
此外，在战前，叙利亚是中东地区最具美感的国家之一。它的基础设施和建筑真的很优雅漂亮，但我担心俄罗斯、伊朗、中国等……会专注于建造实用（和丑陋）的建筑来赚钱。他们将为人民提供实用的建筑、住宅、医院、道路、桥梁……这当然是一件好事，但我的一部分不能忽视这样一个事实，即叙利亚的大部分地区将建在通用街区以满足实际需求文化和艺术敏感性。想象一下叙利亚的一条美丽街道：
……像这样被摧毁和重建：
确实很实用，短期内很好，但从长远来看……这不是很令人沮丧吗？我知道人们会为再次拥有家园、道路和学校而欣喜若狂，但国家建设（或重建）的一部分是让你的国家文化的物理例子遍布其整个建筑。叙利亚的大部分地区将不再拥有……它不会重建得很漂亮，这真的很可悲。第二次世界大战后，欧洲以审美建筑为主要优先事项进行了重建，我根本不认为叙利亚或任何其他最近在中东经历过战争的国家会发生这种情况。
PS：请阅读本文的任何人不要把这当成我在说美学比实际拥有房屋的实用性更重要等等……我只是在讨论历史建筑、纪念碑和建筑对国家建设和重建的重要性。
此外，所有这些贷款不会削弱叙利亚……就像无休止一样吗？这听起来一点也不像“正在修复的社会”。如果有的话，当经济如此糟糕以至于叙利亚政府开始对人民实施严厉的紧缩措施以试图尽可能地偿还贷款时，通过基础设施重建取得的任何实际进展几乎为零。
idk……我的意思是看看伊拉克……战争最糟糕的一章已经过去了一段时间，但它看起来仍然一团糟。它设法重建了一些城市的一部分，但它完全放弃了其他部分，它看起来就像一个没有凝聚力的烂摊子。在我看来，中东任何地方在战争中被彻底摧毁，之后注定会陷入永恒的动荡，因为重建凝聚力在任何意义上都没有真正发生（无论是社会凝聚力，还是建筑和基础设施的凝聚力）。
所以我明白你想说什么，似乎有几点。基本上分为几个部分：
会不会因为叛乱和其他问题而需要太长时间？
不，不是真的。
三个主要派系，土耳其支持的叛军、阿萨德和自卫队都牢牢控制着自己的领土。当然也有所谓的“热点”。
- 对于土耳其支持的叛军，有 al-Bab 和 Afrin
- 对于 SDF，有 Deir-ez-Zor
- 对于阿萨德来说，有德拉，现在是叙利亚沙漠。
然而，这些地区（Deir-ez-Zor 除外）都不是战略性的，可以轻易绕过。
叙利亚以前的文化之美将被毁掉。
是啊，你说得对。我不否认我们将看到的是抢钱。我不怀疑这一点。
不幸的是，对此无能为力。
贷款不会削弱叙利亚吗？
不会。最终会发生的是，叙利亚将被划分为伊朗、俄罗斯和土耳其之间的势力范围。也许是美国。
这些国家会讨好阿萨德，他会一直玩弄他们。他们可能会减少它以换取好处或让步。
例如，伊朗可以获得一两个军事基地，阿萨德可以免除 20 亿美元的债务（这不是实际提议，这是我发明的情景）。
中东人民本来就有问题，但他们的问题是局部的，并没有超出他们的边界。
然而，在 20 世纪初，他们发现了巨大的石油储量，就像西方从煤炭转向石油来为他们的军事、交通和工业提供燃料一样。当时美国唯一没有大量的东西就是石油储备。结果，石油成为战略利益。
随着西方经济转向石油，中东突然变得重要起来。这对西方和中东来说都是一场悲剧。
也在这个时候
Which war? Assyrian? Babylonian? Persian? Greek? Roman? Parthian? Byzantine? Sassanid? Muslim? Crusades? Saladin? Mongols? Timurlane? Ottomans? Post-Ottoman? Saudi rebellion? WWI? WWII? 1948? Cyprus? Lebanon? 1967? 1973? Iran-Iraq? Gulf Wars? Yemen? isis? Big place, many ethnicities, fighting forever…long before the west, the UK, USA and others got involved.
- A great deal of TIME.
- There are about 30 conflicts in the ME -today. KSA+Yemen, KSA and Iran, Syria and Turkey, Cyprus and her 2 halves, Egypt and her Sinai problem, Libya and her 7 tribes -who hate each other, Israel and the PA, the PA and Hamas, Egypt and the Hamas, Greece and Macedonia, Turkey and the Kurds, and a few more…..
There is no known technology, statesmanship, diplomat or even superman who can solve even half these conflicts;—in the near future or even over 30 years.
3. The whole ME is made up of hundreds of TRIBES, and both the tribal concept and their natural character means that c
What Middle East war are you asking about? Libya’s sectarian violence? The war in Yemen? The Syrian civil war? The sectarian violence in Iraq?
Please be specific.
Well, yes and no. The United States has been at war for 225 years of the 243 it had existed. England has been at war with about 80% of the members of the UN at one point or another. The Middle East is a culturally diverse area. It has been kingdoms and empires. Democracies and dictatorships. They have been invaded and occupied and been invaders and occupiers. So while some areas have known lengthy periods of peace, other areas were fighting wars at the same time. So…. Some part of the region has been fighting with someone for a good deal of recorded history. Just as has pretty much every other
No.
Because it's divided into different countries.
Some of you would think that's the answer, but surprisingly enough.. it's not.
You see the war in Yemen.
You hear about the fightings in Lybia (or not, if your local news don't think it's news).
You read that Lebanon had 2 bloody major civil wars since WWII.
You hear so many different names of organizations fighting in Syria with each other, and against each other..
At the same time (200 organizations to be precise).
And many more struggles that don't make it to the unofficial media.
That begs the question:
Why?
Why does it ha
When Arabs and/or Muslims stop slaughtering each other - which they have done By The Millions over the last one hundred years.
The various caliphates and Muslim Empires were heaven on earth compared to the current internecine fratricidal horror that is ongoing…
The only peace they promulgate now is the peace of death.
Back in the 1970s Sheik Yamani, the Saudi oil minister, commenting on oil shortages of the time said “ The Stone Age did not end because they ran out of stones.” What he meant was that the Oil Age would end when something better comes along, not when oil runs out.
No one knows how much oil remains in the Middle East. Saudi Arabia is known to have oil resources near its border with Oman. The oil on the Omani side is produced and exported via pipeline to the Muscat area. The oil on the Saudi side of the border isn’t produced or even much explored for two reasons. First, the Saudi already have suf
I see the future of the Middle East as completely dark and grim. Like Latin America, we simply have no insulation from stronger countries that wish to bend us to their will. We have no safe space in which to develop freely and determine and pursue our own destiny. The region is totally exposed, utterly dominated and at the mercy of not one but multiple beastly Western hegemons, which are free, without any consequence to themselves, to resort again and again to methods as beastly as themselves, to maintain their mastery over our region. Israel, the United States, France, and Britain (more or le
There is the part of the middle east that is eroding and destroying itself )e.g., Lebanon, Syria, Iraq), and there is another part that is planning and working for a better future (e.g., Saudi Arabia, the Gulf countries, Israel).
Those who do not really have a national basis for unity (the countries I mentioned that are eroding) are collapsing because they never had a real national existence.
However, new alliances and spirits that speak the language of peace are unfolding.
A brave new middle east.
You guys got poor Edward Said turning over in his grave, what with these easy to consume answers about ancient grudges, parables about scorpions and frogs, sexually frustrated men, parents who don't love their children, and other simplistic and farcical references to cultural and intrinsic factors.
Notice that a couple of the Middle Easterners who responded didn't explain it as "it's what and who we are that creates these conflicts":
Saeed Sufi's answer to Middle East: Will there ever be peace in the Middle East?
Amir Masoud Abdol's answer to Middle East: Will there ever be peace in the Middl
Of course you mean CONFLICTS!
Syria, is a ‘black-hole’ fighting her own people, the rebels, the remnants of Isis, and the anger of the whole Western World.
Lebanon is a social, and economic cripple. She has been invaded by Iran’s puppet-Hezbollah-and this is a cancer eating away at the fabric of Lebanon!
Jordan is a State on the edge; Her economy is weak, she is supporting some 2 million Syrian refugees, and her Arab population is ‘against’ and angry at her King, and his Hejaz Bedouin who have ‘stolen’ their East Palestine from them.
Saudi Arabia, is in a state of WAR with Yemen, she is trying har
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