为什么卡塔尔对以色列如此友好,因为他们是哈马斯的主要资助者之一?
对冲。
国际关系中有一个概念叫做对冲。如果您阅读此类问题,您会经常看到这种情况,因为这是弱国的共同战略。虽然像美国这样的大国,如果不确定自己的实力,也可以使用。
现在的问题当然是:
什么是套期保值以及卡塔尔是如何做到的?
对冲基本上是追求各种相互矛盾的政策,目的是与每个人成为朋友,或者至少保持中立。以卡塔尔和中东地区的三个主要地区大国为例。
- 它派遣士兵帮助也门的沙特阿拉伯。
卡塔尔士兵和一名在也门受伤的战友为帮助沙特阿拉伯而战
- 尽管受到美国的制裁,它仍继续与伊朗进行贸易,使该国得到短暂的喘息机会,并使伊朗商人能够进入外部世界。
- 它让土耳其在卡塔尔有了一个基地。
土耳其总统埃尔多安与土耳其士兵在卡塔尔的新军事基地
这似乎完全矛盾,就好像卡塔尔是所有 3 个对手的盟友,这就是重点。卡塔尔的目标是让中东的三个主要大国认为阿勒萨尼王朝对他们的利益有用和有利。本质上,目标是说服大国不要对卡塔尔采取侵略行动。
国际关系专家梅赫兰·卡姆拉瓦 (Mehran Kamrava) 就此主题撰写了一本名为《卡塔尔:小国大政治》的书,其中描述了卡塔尔如何利用其对冲(与中东地区大国的友好关系)来追求自己的外交政策目标。将对冲作为其主要外交政策目标的国家很少这样做。
这也是为什么卡塔尔放在眼里是极其矛盾的。
看看阿富汗的塔利班就知道了。
- 一方面,卡塔尔在多哈(卡塔尔首都)为他们提供了一个办公室,塔利班官员可以在那里制定政策、筹集资金并会见外国政要。
塔利班驻卡塔尔多哈办事处
- 但另一方面,卡塔尔宣布可能会派遣士兵前往阿富汗,与它在多哈保护的塔利班官员作战!
卡塔尔士兵
这并不是因为 Emir Tamim(2013 年至今)精神错乱,而是因为它保证了卡塔尔即使输了也能赢。我的意思是,如果塔利班获胜并占领了阿富汗,那么埃米尔塔米姆就有证据证明他是他们的好朋友,阻止恐怖分子袭击卡塔尔符合塔利班的利益。但如果塔利班输了,那么埃米尔塔米姆就有证据表明他一直是喀布尔共和国的好朋友,并且继续与卡塔尔合作符合他们的利益。
当然,卡塔尔并不总是立即对冲。卡塔尔只有在觉得自己无法取胜时才会避险。当卡塔尔确信自己会取得胜利时,它就会全力以赴,就像利比亚(卡塔尔的重大胜利)和叙利亚(卡塔尔的严重失败)一样。
现在著名的照片是一名利比亚叛军在占领卡扎菲支持城市后将卡塔尔国旗悬挂在利比亚国旗前。卡塔尔决定不在利比亚和叙利亚进行对冲,因为它有 110% 的把握击败阿萨德和卡扎菲。对了一半。
这让我们明白为什么卡塔尔对以色列和巴勒斯坦人奉行自相矛盾的政策。
卡塔尔在这里奉行同样的战略。它力求确保双方都将卡塔尔视为对双方利益有利的朋友。在这种情况下,就像在阿富汗一样,卡塔尔看不到靠自己取胜的方法。因此,它反而专注于对所有交战方友好,以确保它即使输了也能赢。
对于以色列,卡塔尔试图将自己描绘成一个可以接受的中间人。一个可靠和宽容的穆斯林国家。因此,卡塔尔宣布将允许以色列护照持有人前往卡塔尔观看世界杯。
或者为什么 Emir Tamim 寻求与美国拉比的新闻发布会。
另一方面,它试图将自己描绘成巴勒斯坦人的捍卫者。这把我们带到了最后一点:
套期保值可行吗?这是一个可行的策略吗?它会永远有效吗?
答案是:看演员愿不愿意接受。
内特纳亚胡领导下的以色列已经接受了卡塔尔的对冲,并确实认为 Al-Thanis 是有益的。这就是为什么以色列允许卡塔尔给哈马斯钱!
内塔尼亚胡捍卫卡塔尔第二次通过以色列向加沙转移 1500 万美元
内塔尼亚胡允许对冲,因为这对他有用
不是出于愚蠢,而是因为内塔尼亚胡认为这是目前对他来说最好的选择。让卡塔尔避险,假装没注意到。但是,如果您要对冲的国家之一(或像塔利班这样的派系)的领导人决定不领情并甩开您的手。
你完蛋了。
当一个穆斯林大国的某位王储决定他不喜欢卡塔尔坐在栅栏旁时,卡塔尔就以惨痛的方式学会了这一点。
沙特阿拉伯王储穆罕默德不喜欢卡塔尔的对冲决定
就是今天。土耳其军事基地是在 2017 年之前商定的。
然而,沙特阿拉伯在 2017 年封锁了卡塔尔,并要求卡塔尔切断与伊朗的所有联系,并驱逐所有土耳其军队。这些要求本来是不可能的,因为沙特阿拉伯计划入侵卡塔尔,即使那里有土耳其士兵。
沙特阿拉伯计划于去年夏天入侵卡塔尔。雷克斯·蒂勒森 (Rex Tillerson) 阻止它的努力可能让他失去了工作。
阻止沙特阿拉伯的是美国的干预,因为美国通知沙特,如果它发动另一场战争,它不会得到任何帮助。
还记得泰国吗?
When Siam was one of Asia’s major power, it had played a very tricky political tie: getting close with all various power factions to promote its Siamese agenda and ideology in Eastern Asia. Naresuan, to fight the Burmese, appreciated helps from the French, Portuguese, Japanese and even Chinese to expel the Burmese and invading Cambodia. When Siam became a powerhouse, he continued the policy of opening and allying with all various factions to serve its interests. This became Thailand’s official policies for many years next, continued from Ayutthaya to even modern Chakri Rattan
Good Question
You often find this in the world of politics. Countries being 2 faced to further their agendas. Now it's simple Qatar is a relatively small country in a very important place. They support hamas for the obvious reason being they are both Muslim and arabs have long had tention with Jews. But in this world it would be very hard to not have Israel as an ally. They are the most technologically advanced country in the world and have the strongest military in the Middle East and have the backing of the US. But to be technical they are not very friendly both sides now that they don't like
According to Robert Dreyfuss, author of "Devil's Game: How the United States Helped Unleash Fundamentalist Islam":
"And beginning in 1967 through the late 1980s, Israel helped the Muslim Brotherhood establish itself in the occupied territories. It assisted Ahmed Yassin, the leader of the Brotherhood, in creating Hamas, betting that its Islamist character would weaken the PLO."
According to Charles Freeman, former US ambassador to Saudi Arabia,
"Israel started Hamas. It was a project of Shin Bet [Israeli domestic intelligence agency], which had a feeling that they could use it to hem in the PL
Hamas has not accepted any deal to “ end the conflict “ . . . that would end their reason for existing . . . and any chances for skimming billions of dollars off of the E.U. “ humanitarian aid “ which has only fattened the off-shore bank accounts of their leaders.
They’re hardly going to give up that cash cow for peace with Israel, its way too profitable.
Hamas seeks world sympathy in order to receive pity-funds.
So they attack Israel until it is forced to respond and then they parade pictures and statistics of dead Gazans in the international media.
In about a week Israel is scheduled to host Eurovision so the world media will focus on Israel.
They are trying to capitalize on this media coverage by murdering Israelis and having Israel retaliate.
Lovely, isn’t it?
Why did the whole world attack Hamas?
This video is for Israeli soldiers pushing a Palestinian delivery employee for no reason.
Comments on this video:
-He must have had some stones in his bag that they were afraid.
-They have right to defend themselves.
But in fact:
They are just criminals, there is no other explanation.
note: They have the right to defend themselves, they have the right to kill civilian children as well, they have the right to use lethal weapons, they have the right to shoot at whomever they want!
In this video, you can see Israeli soldiers shoot a child
Because Israel asks it to
Liberman: Netanyahu sent Mossad head, general to Qatar, ‘begged’ it to pay Hamas (This is from Times Of Israel which is pro-Israel and it’s quoting an Israel Right-wing politician)
President of Israel thanking Qatar
Basic explanation
Contrary to what many believe, Israel wants Hamas to remain in power in Gaza. Now the “Why?” is often chalked up to either nefarious means and pragmatic means.
- Pragmatic: If Hamas falls, the question is who would replace it? Would that actor being as pragmatic or even as incompetent as Hamas?
- Nefarious: Hamas
This is one of the fascinating things that I enjoy observing as someone who speaks 3 languages because you see something known as “narrative shaping” which is when the media reports events in a certain manner.
Basically English language and French language media ignored something extremely extremely important that helps people understand the Arab outrage:
The Al-Aqsa storming
So I’ll try to present this as neutrally as I possibly can:
Israel is in the process of evicting several families from the Sheikh Jarrah neighborhood, this sparked protests throughout the Palestinian territories as this riled
Some facts about Qatar:
2020 estimated population : 2,795,484
GDP (PPP)2020 estimate• Total$357.338 billion(51st)
GDP (nominal)2018 estimate• Total$183.807 billion(56th)
So one can easily conclude it’s very rich country with a very small population.
Location:(from Google maps)
It is neatly nestled between powers that are at odds viz Saudi on one side and Iran on other. And it’s completely at the mercy of both to get its export (the oil and gas) out to its customers through the Persian gulf.
So a rich country with a sma
No, I don’t think so.
Hamas can’t be destroyed from a distance, they are structured is such a way to survive a decapitation strike with ease, they have done so many times. Israel will have to ground invade the Gaza Strip to get rid of Hamas, this is something Israel would like to avoid since they would be responsible for 2 million Palestinians living in slums -Israel put most of them there, but I digress-, there’s a reason Israel withdrew from Gaza in 2005 and it isn’t the goodness of their hearts.
Now even if somehow Hamas could be destroyed, the whole strip will descend into chaos, something l
So friendly with Israel? Where did you get that from?

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