如果没有大清洗、失踪和古拉格集中营,斯大林能实现苏联的现代化吗?

为了回答一个隐含的问题并 "缩小 "范围,我们无法将斯大林的大部分镇压解释为物质上的需要。 许多镇压都是文化性的、偏执的,在许多方面都是一个刚刚摆脱内战创伤的国家所应该做的(这在其他地方也发生过......这与 "斯大林 "个人无关)。 这并不能成为他们的借口......但却可以解释他们。

列宁和托洛茨基二人领导的布尔什维克/红军赢得了内战,因为他们比白人(="保守派")敌人更理智、更具包容性。 实话实说,战前俄国的一些优秀人物曾在白人政府中任职......但他们没有办法约束或控制他们的白人武装兄弟。 即使是 "南俄 "政府的杰尼金,相对来说是最有纪律的白军,也无法或不愿约束其士兵对当地犹太人发动大屠杀。

我记得曾读过一篇文章,介绍沙皇如何通过让军官 "非政治化 "来保持军队的忠诚。 军官们不看报纸,一般也不太相信别人的言论。 这是一种决斗和爱国主义的极端大男子主义文化,对政治的理解几乎是幼稚的。 随着古老政权的凋零,铁靴下的渣滓们又回到了反动的基督教君主制......实际上,这与沙皇时代的实际情况相差甚远(因为与军队不同,贵族们确实读过书......白人的反应是通过刽子手的眼睛对沙皇时代的讽刺)。

托洛茨基的红军收编了旧制度下经验丰富的军官,并在新经济政策中采取了基本满足群众要求的亲农经济政策,这些因素的结合使布尔什维克赢得了战争。 然而,布尔什维克建立了一个多元化和包容性的国家,(在托洛茨基的革命指导下)这与沙皇专制(新共识中没有包括旧国家的一部分,即教会......也许这是最好的结果)或**有效的宪政民主相去甚远。 这基本上是一种短暂的休战,直到国家的形态以一种可行的形式真正确定下来。 必须有所让步。 所 "给 "的就是宽容:在斯大林时期,所有对外国人、意识形态共产主义者、军官、资产阶级艺术家和 "非无产阶级"(即自由、颓废)文化表现形式的摇头晃脑的宽容都被取消了。

这种战时宽容、和平时期清理的模式在许多政权中都被沿用,不胜枚举。 利用多元化联盟夺取政权,并在夺取政权后打掉那些对自己毫无用处的人,这是教科书式的策略(在民主和专制中都是如此)。 从经济实用性的角度来看,这就失去了意义。 提高乌拉尔地区的钢铁产量并不需要圣彼得堡的艺术作品来表现 "健壮、快乐的苏联工人热爱自己的工作",而不是 "低沉、懒惰、只想着自己的资产阶级"。 但这是关于新的清教徒制度将如何运作的声明。


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To answer an implicit question and “narrow it down” a bit, there is no way to explain away a huge part of the Stalinist repression as materially necessary. Many repressions were cultural, paranoid, in many ways only to be expected of a country coming out of a traumatic civil war (it’s happened elsewhere… there was nothing personally “Stalin” about this). This does not excuse them… but it does explain them.

The Bolsheviks / Reds under the Lenin and Trotsky duumvirate won the civil war by being saner and more inclusive than their White (=’conservative’) enemies. Truth be told, some excellent men of pre-war Russia were in the White government(s)… but they had no way to restrain or control their White brothers-in-arms. Even the “South Russian” government of Denikin, relatively the most disciplined of White armies, could not or would not restrain its soldiers from launching pogroms on local Jews.

I recall reading a paper on how the tsardom had sought to keep the army loyal by keeping officers “apolitical”. Officers didn’t read the papers, or generally put much trust in talking. It was an ultra macho culture of dueling and patriotism, which was almost childishly under-equipped to understand politics. With the ancient regime withering around them, the dregs of the iron boot reverted to a reactionary Christian monarchism… actually several steps back from what Tsardom had actually been (because unlike the military, the aristocracy did read… White reaction was a caricature of the Tsardom through its executioners’ eyes).

The mixture of the existing local support for “workers’ soviets” in all major cities, co-opting experienced military officers of the ancien regime by Trotsky’s Red Army, and adopting a pro-peasant economic policy in the NEP that essentially met the demands of the masses won the war for the Bolsheviks. However, it created a diverse and inclusive state that was (under Trotsky’s revolutionary direction) a far cry from Tsarist autocracy (one part of the old state left out of the new consensus was the Church… perhaps that was for the best), *or* a functioning constitutional democracy. It was essentially a brief truce until the shape of the state was actually decided in a working form. Something had to give. What “gave” was tolerance: under Stalin, all the wink-and-nod tolerances—to foreigners, ideological communists, military officers, bourgeois artists and expressions of “non-proletarian” (i.e. liberal, decadent) culture—were revoked.

This exact same model of wartime tolerance and peacetime cleanup has been followed in way too many regimes to name. Using a diverse coalition to take power and knocking off those useless to you after taking over is a textbook tactic (in democracy as well as autocracy). To look at it through the lens of economic practicality misses the point. Upping steel production in the Urals didn’t need art made in St. Petersburg to show “the robust and jolly Soviet worker loving his work” instead of the “morose lazy bourgeois, thinking only of himself.” But it was a statement about how the new, puritanical system would work. plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose

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