喔不，它會因為另一個原因而崩潰。大壩雖然是個問題，但卻是菁英們為防止潰壩而設置的一系列誘餌之一。
埃及精英並非宗教上的穆斯林，而是無神論者、文化上的穆斯林以及一些虔誠的穆斯林的混合體。現在一切都很好，但由於 2010 年至 2012 年發生的事件，埃及社會對伊斯蘭教的存在產生了強烈的焦慮，國家竭盡全力消滅該宗教。
- 數以萬計的埃及政治活動人士，特別是宗教活動人士，遭到逮捕和酷刑，約有一千人被處死。
- 埃及國營媒體開始將宗教穆斯林描繪成醜陋的白痴
- 國家為種族隔離開了綠燈，這導致了這樣的故事：
蒙面女性被禁止進入度假村和餐廳的故事 - 埃及獨立報
儘管大多數埃及女性都戴著頭巾，但今年夏天卻給她們帶來了令人不安的驚喜，因為她們被禁止進入幾家不戴頭巾的餐廳和旅館。在過去的幾年裡，埃及出現了許多無面紗區，主要是在赫爾格達和沙姆沙伊赫，但最近它們在全國範圍內的受歡迎程度有所增加。這引發了蒙著面紗的埃及人的憤怒浪潮，他們認為這是對個人權利的侵犯。
https://egyptindependent.com/stories-veiled-women-banned-entering-resorts-and-restaurants/
埃及高檔場所禁止戴頭巾的女性
埃及高檔餐廳和度假村拒絕戴面紗女性進入的趨勢似乎正在上升
https://www.middleeasteye.net/features/egypts-upscale-spaces-ban-hijabi-women
現在許多外國人可能認為這是個好消息。事實上，這個答案的靈感來自於德國用戶對土耳其用戶的答案所留下的評論。兩人都認為伊斯蘭教是邪惡的，都相信世俗主義才是正確的道路。所以我理解為什麼對外國人來說，埃及國家的壓迫聽起來像是天賜之物，塞西將軍（2014年至今執政）可能被譽為英雄和21世紀的阿塔圖爾克。
我，一個不偏執的世俗主義者，一直試圖提出一個問題，但這就像對一群聾子說話。
無宗教信仰的精英是笨手笨腳的白痴，他們造成了許多危機
- 埃及國家的外匯存底已經耗盡，因此正遭受進口危機。
埃及貨幣貶值加劇短缺
通貨膨脹導致燃料和食品費用上漲，債務嚴重影響該國經濟
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/economy/article/2022/10/18/egypt-s-falling-currency-is-worsening-shortages_6000871_19.html
- 數十年的農業管理不善導致埃及依賴俄羅斯和烏克蘭提供糧食，而這些糧食因戰爭而不再出口。
外國飢荒？烏克蘭戰爭後埃及的糧食危機 埃及街道
2022 年 2 月，世界經濟、政治和資源管理發生了典範轉移：俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭爆發，以及隨後尚未結束的戰爭。在悲劇和動盪之中，危機已成為世界領導人和家庭主婦的共同語言；更常見的是
https://egyptianstreets.com/2022/09/30/a-foreign-famine-egypts-food-crisis-in-the-wake-of-the-ukraine-war/
- 與此同時，塞西總統正花費數十億美元建設新首都和無數旨在迎合精英階層的項目，而埃及在 2010 年之前面臨的巨大貧困卻變得更加嚴重。更糟的是。
埃及花費數十億美元建造埃及人可能不會造訪的新首都
這座新城市估計耗資數百億美元，是阿卜杜勒法塔赫塞西總統國家現代化計畫的核心部分。
https://www.wsj.com/articles/egypt-is-spending-billions-on-a-new-capital-that-egyptians-may-not-visit-11671838772
這就是為什麼我對世俗主義者感到憤怒，他們實際上只是討厭穆斯林，卻想假裝他們關心並希望每個人都過上美好的生活。但我也不支持反世俗主義者，因為他們不斷上鉤。
你看塞西將軍和精英們總是製造這些小事件來轉移視線
與埃塞俄比亞的整個衝突就是一個例子，但最常見的衝突是針對科普特基督徒的。每當非宗教菁英感到焦慮時，就會炮製某種陰謀，慫恿當地人針對基督徒進行攻擊和騷亂。
這不是什麼新鮮事，這是他們幾十年來的主要策略，令我憤怒的是，甚至受過教育的埃及人也上當，並通過說既然他們支持精英，那麼他們就應該遭受隨之而來的暴力，以此來證明他們對科普特人的仇恨是合理的。
我拼命試圖解釋說，真正的敵人不是在教堂或主日學校，而是開羅的夜總會和遊艇。與其上鉤，不如拒絕誘餌，向科普特基督徒伸出援手，他們和穆斯林一樣，都遭受著精英們的愚蠢之苦，精英們寧願在酒吧喝一杯威士忌，也不願閱讀經濟報告。
這就是為什麼我不參與政治評論
明天早上我仍然會出現在 Quora 上，看到另一篇關於埃及穆斯林如何愚蠢的帖子，應該集體遭受酷刑和處決，因為「阿塔圖爾克讓土耳其變得偉大！茜茜公主=阿塔圖爾克！」。另一位用戶告訴埃及人要冷靜，因為「伊斯蘭教正在慢慢消亡」。
然後我會在推特上看到另一位受過教育的埃及穆斯林談論中東基督徒是如何“老鼠”，他們向秘密警察舉報朋友和鄰居並支持獨裁政權，這就是為什麼他很高興聽到一百個基督徒被燒死在伊拉克的一場婚禮上身亡。
我發現自己處於這樣一種境地：每個人都極度嗜血和偏執，但堅稱他們很聰明，最了解情況，而實際上他們只是渴望種族滅絕，同時又把它裝扮成想要為埃及和埃及人謀求最好的結果。但是，嘿，雙方都會得到他們想要的，因為看起來這個國家的管理不善可能會引發飢荒並導致數百萬人死亡。
但不，埃塞俄比亞大壩不會導致埃及崩潰。精英們在獨自挑釁方面做得非常出色。
由於某種原因，歷史上各個地區的精英似乎都是愚蠢和無能的……最終導致他們的垮台。
埃及軍隊仍然對社會的某些階層擁有強大的控制力，而且中產階級對下層階級感到恐懼，因此在任何衝突中，大多數城市地區最終將成為政府的據點，而戰鬥則轉移到農村。
埃及軍隊還有一個額外的好處，那就是海灣地區、西方國家、俄羅斯甚至中國都非常喜歡埃及軍隊，因此在衝突時會急於為其提供支援。
North Africa’s problems are indeed its whiskey sipping elites. But you have to understand the context which helps explain why. The elite are not interested in developing the country but themselves. There is no pressure on them to do otherwise. The country needs urgent investments in various sectors a…
Read more
Marco Fuxa
Agreed. 1960’s… Pan Arabism == socialism. And that is how an organic sense of islamic morality got wiped out of the socialist elite. My grandfather was titled, and my father had rank. They both spoke to the moral imperatives you mentioned. They shared the same paternalism, even though the religion was different from yours. Modernity broke that moral sense of responsibility towards others. Politics is now how interests get adjudicated to others. Pan Arabism was a failure. The Muslim Brotherhood, One Morality, One Law, One State, represents Culture. A singular expression of Islam. A singular State under Sharia Law. The Problem here is that Islam is a Civilization, not a Culture. Culture, socialism as an example, is monotheistic, it's a singular belief system. Culture has no place in either representative republican rule, it belongs properly in mob rule. The Arab Spring turned into mob rule. The first time the Egyptians got to vote, the great unwashed masses from the countryside elected the Brotherhood. By which point the elite’s very existence was under threat. They responded to the threat by taking away the “representative” part of the equation. The Brotherhood failed the Islamic Civilization test, and pushed back representative authority back a generation or two. I do not disagree with your conclusion, but out of a lack of idealism, with a good dose of pragmatism, have to point out that if you challenge the elites, they will respond in kind. At this point they are no longer morally bound to protect and feed their peasants, because they are no longer titled, and their peasants are free citizens each with supposedly one vote. We can discount Iranian theocracy (collapse into corruption), we can discount Saudi extremism, and we can look with amusement at how Erdogan is turning back the clock on Ottoman Civilization. 唯一可行的辦法是，現代伊斯蘭教找到一套反映伊斯蘭文明的政治和製度信仰，而不是透過警棍、宗教法庭、法庭強加給其他伊斯蘭亞群體的單一伊斯蘭次文化。或軍隊。 這是道德等級制度的失敗，而不是菁英的失敗。網站圖片如何自動優化？
1943年10月7日，晉升海軍少將。威克島日軍駐軍司令坂原茂松 (Shigematsu Sakaibara) 下令處決 98 名美國戰俘，聲稱他們試圖與美軍進行無線電聯繫。 1941 年 12 月下旬，日軍增援了威克島上的現有部隊…
閱讀更多
智商低或中等的人和智商高的人之間的溝通是什麼樣的？
During my two decades in sales, I observed many interactions between people with obviously large gaps in IQ scores. They were often very emotionally loaded, and the gaps may sometimes have far exceeded 3 SDs. I could observe three things consistently happening there. * For those on the high end of the I…
Read more
The resistance lives!
Handala
Resilience Triumphs Over Decades of Occupation: The Unbreakable Spirit of the Palestinians In a Palestine marred by ethnic cleansing and oppression by Zionism, the remarkable story of resilience and determination has emerged yet again. For decades, the Palestinians have endured the horrors of occupat…
Read more
Posted by
· WedA broken and beaten German prisoner of war being escorted by a Soviet soldier, 1943 This picture became a popular piece of Soviet propaganda. The Soviet soldier stands strong and seems confident. The German soldier looks broken and anxious. This picture was taken at the end of the Battle of Stalingra…
Read more
Metal Art Fever
Sponsored
Transform Your Space with Rustic Art.
Discover Privacy Screens for Every Application!
Learn More
Practicing atheist
· Oct 2Is the Chinese army, like the Russian and North Koreans, trained for parades but not so much for real fighting?
We don’t know, but we can surmise. The last shooting war China had was in 1979 China hasn’t fought a shooting war in well over 40 years at this point. Their oldest serving officers weren’t even cadets yet when the last Chinese guns fell silent and the country no longer engaged in warfare. This will se…
Read more
Just to show people what resistance is about. There literally hundreds of videos where Palestinians fighters left women and children to go and many fighters have died when they could have finished the civilians. The count could have been thousands. Most of Israelis were soldiers. Israelis who are ev…
Read more
Amateur WWII Historian and Writer
· Oct 2I'm a German soldier in 1939. What are my chances to survive until 1945?
Statistically speaking, you would have a chance of survival around 70%. Germany had over 13 million soldiers during WWII, and over 4 million of them died during the war. However, because you would be a veteran soldier, I believe your chances would actually be much lower. The odds of surviving Operat…
Read more
沒有留言:
張貼留言
注意：只有此網誌的成員可以留言。