美國在臉書上的政治認同危機

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美國的政治認同危機(在新視窗中開啟)
美國在臉書上的政治認同危機(在新視窗中開啟)
美國在領英上的政治認同危機(在新窗口中開啟)

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拉娜·福魯哈爾
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唐納德·川普聯盟的另一部分——「讓美國再次健康」運動——正在分崩離析。熱愛有機食品、懼怕化學物質的「讓美國再次健康」運動人士近日湧入華盛頓,抗議川普政府支持草甘膦(孟山都公司生產的除草劑「農達」),該產品目前正面臨一起重大責任訴訟。
孟山都的母公司拜耳否認農達會導致癌症。但「瑪哈媽媽們」(以及許多其他人)對此表示懷疑,上週她們在最高法院外高喊「人民對抗毒藥」就證明了這一點。
值得注意的是,此次活動中最引人注目的演講者並非反對疫苗的衛生部長小羅伯特·F·甘迺迪,而是對農業綜合企業持懷疑態度的民主黨參議員科里·布克。對於許多像進步派民主黨人一樣對大型企業利益抱持懷疑論的馬哈拉施特拉邦母親來說,家庭健康比黨派忠誠更重要。這場抗議也表明,川普的支持者正在疏遠他,這是可能重塑美國黨派政治格局的更大規模政治重組的一部分。
川普連任時承諾,將憑藉製造業的繁榮,打造一個更富裕的美國,一個更健康的美國(參見馬哈),一個更虔誠的美國(他贏得了福音派和大多數天主教選民的支持),更低的物價,以及不再發動對外戰爭。然而,到目前為止,情況卻不盡人意。製造業就業崗位不僅減少,通貨膨脹也加劇(這主要歸咎於川普最近發動的伊朗戰爭),而且這位總統還透過與教宗交惡以及發布自己扮演耶穌的照片,激怒了信徒。 「我們並不完全了解他的內心,」上週組織全國聖經閱讀活動的邦妮·龐茲在談到這位美國總統時說道。說得好,姐妹。
中期選舉前的民調顯示,川普在宗教選民和工薪階層中的支持率正在下降,這表明許多「讓美國再次偉大」(MAGA)運動的支持者現在看清了川普的真面目:一個富有的騙子,他與那些將工作崗位轉移到國外或污染水源的公司沆瀣一氣,而且似乎隨時準備將這些公司派往海外仗。這是事實,並非虛構。支持川普的政治募款團體「讓美國再次偉大」(MAGA Inc.,又稱超級政治行動委員會)的大部分資金來自大型科技公司、金融公司、國防公司和能源公司。這與共和黨民粹主義派系的理念格格不入。
但感到疏離的不僅是基本盤。保守派選民在許多問題上都與總統有分歧。雖然真正的保守派支持各州的權利,但本屆政府卻試圖阻止各州通過自己的人工智慧監管規則。川普在隱私議題上也來了個180度大轉彎,而這正是自由意志主義共和黨人極為關注的。他力推《外國情報監視法》(FISA)的續期,該法案允許美國情報機構在沒有搜查令的情況下查詢美國公民的數位資訊。此前,他一直反對這項法案。
值得注意的是,目前正在進行的《外國情報監視法》(FISA)重新授權之爭,涉及的是一個自川普和資深左翼參議員伯尼·桑德斯崛起以來就一直存在的左右翼聯盟。他們兩人都迎合了那些拒絕接受傳統中間派觀點的選民,這些觀點涉及經濟權力集中、既得利益、自由貿易、政府腐敗和全球化等議題。
眾議院自由黨團(共和黨最保守的派別)的成員希望堵上「第702條」漏洞,該漏洞允許對美國公民的通信進行「後門搜索」。經濟民粹主義者和科技懷疑論者,包括共和黨參議員喬許·霍利,也持相同觀點。羅恩·懷登、伊麗莎白·沃倫以及桑德斯等進步派人士也支持這個想法。同時,兩黨許多中間派人士支持以現有形式「乾淨利落地」重新授權該法案,理由是反恐和國家安全等老生常談的問題。
在這個問題上,如同在越來越多的其他議題上一樣,各黨派的立場正在逐漸重疊。例如,印第安納州的保守派政治人物珍惜州權,卻反對白宮的選區劃分不公義;進步派人士,如民主黨參議員克里斯·墨菲,也開始談論精神層面的問題。此外,還有緬因州的牡蠣養殖戶、退伍軍人、民主黨參議員候選人格雷厄姆·普拉特納,他主張採取比自由派過去支持的更溫和的外交政策。在所有這些領域,議題本身的重要性都超過了黨派忠誠。
這種重組並非史無前例。 19世紀50年代,反建制民粹主義導致輝格黨因奴隸制問題分裂而瓦解,共和黨因此崛起。但跨黨派的轉變也可能在不破壞整個政黨結構的情況下發生。 1930年代,富蘭克林·羅斯福利用權力與人民的對立敘事,將民主黨、共和黨人和勞工活動家納入新政聯盟。
我目前還不認為任何一方會垮台。但很顯然,我們正處於另一個政治劇烈動盪和變革的時期。我懷疑,在中期選舉中,無論政治光譜的兩端,民粹主義者都會獲得更多支持,而且很可能在2028年總統大選中也會如此。黨派界線將繼續模糊和變化,最終結果或許是一方出現一位中間派/親商候選人,另一方則出現一位經濟民粹主義者。關鍵問題在於,他們會代表哪個黨派。
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又一個男人
21分鐘前
當近 50% 的選民選擇支持一個已知的罪犯,而這個罪犯已經領導了對國家的叛國襲擊時,你就知道這個國家注定要完蛋了。

至少伊朗人和北韓人可以說,他們的領導人沒有選舉權,他們也沒有發言權。我的同胞卻不能這樣說。

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Oblivious
25 MINUTES AGO
Interesting article. Looking in at a president with criminal convictions, his lies, interfering with departments of state, the 6 January insurrection and now the pointless conflict with Iran you think something has really got to give in the US in the next few years.

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yono
26 MINUTES AGO
I would vote for the 'Common Sense Party', but I think for now it's not possible.

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SilentReason
1 HOUR AGO
The real divide in the US is people vs profits. Law makers are bought, and their funding seems to correlate with the amount of votes that get.
This might be why voter turn out is low.

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Colm to
1 HOUR AGO
This is classic both siderism - a seemingly incurable affliction for many in the media. For some reason the notion that extremes of “both parties” are x or y or whatever the flavour of the day is seems irresistible.

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Coyote
1 HOUR AGO
If you sow identity politics, you will reap civil war.

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From_CA
2 HOURS AGO
The next 4 years will prove to be very determinant of how the country manages these dislocations. I fear the recent Court ruling on the Voting Rights Act means more polarization in government. Hopefully, 2026 will be a wake up call for both parties to course correct and find a policy path that more broadly reflects the country and not just the podcast audiences of the most extreme elements of both sides.

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ExTrump Supporter
1 HOUR AGO

 
In reply to From_CA
Not sure what point your trying to make.

America is about merit now identity politics.

If anything, the ruling is correcting a past wrong?

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@seeandbeseing
2 HOURS AGO
Maga base now see Trump for what he is: a rich charlatan, who is cosy with the companies moving their jobs abroad or polluting their water, and seems ready to send them to fight foreign wars.
This has always been recognised but the "FU stick it to the libs" factor was more motivating than the downsides, which are just around the corner: inflation, stagflation, gutted middle class, crisis in consumer confidence, fears of AI job displacement, constant news of mass layoffs, college education increasingly out of reach, a wobbling housing market, booming credit delinquency rates, increasing reliance on BNPL for basic necessities, a defacto military draft driven by economic insecurity, a forever war with no clear "end" in sight. Oh, public education in America is in shambles with a few exceptions, kids are not being taught to think critically, so what, they say, just outsource your critical faculties to ChatGPT. That's just the start of the troubles--many of which are non partisan to begin with.

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Paul A. Myers
2 HOURS AGO
One reads in the NYT the op-ed by Christopher Caldwell and the interview with Tucker Carlson and can see that the Republicans are rejecting neoconservatism and much of neoliberalism wholesale. Pro economic growth no longer means tax cuts for the superrich and supercharged wealth concentration and pro-monopoly. The GOP is rediscovering the people out in mainstream America. And a much less interventionist foreign policy with much smaller aspirations.

On the Democratic side, the party is walking away from the Senator Chuck Schumer program of no-questions-ever-asked pro-Israel foreign policy, endless financial deregulation, pro-monopoly industrial policy, and extreme tax preferences for the superrich. The Senate Democratic caucus has been no where near the principles of the Democratic party of 1896-1964 in decades. It too looks like it is going out to rediscover the rest of America in its search for a new majority. The Democrats in Washington have to disabuse themselves of the notion that the people are just looking for a Biden-Harris restoration after Trump. The American people look poised to demand something much more new and much more progressive.

The Trump experience is profoundly remaking both political parties.

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doc martin
2 HOURS AGO
there needs to be valid 3rd party in the USA
leave the religion nutters and the "gender" people where they belong.

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corporate_fly_on_the_wall
2 HOURS AGO

 
In reply to doc martin
First past the post means a 3rd party will never be viable

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There is always enough space
2 HOURS AGO
Thank you for an excellent analysis of our state of disunity, and yes, It feels US’s precarious political situation is going to get worse before better.

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SligoBoland
2 HOURS AGO
America does not have a political party that represents the interests of American citizens. It’s a pickle.

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Steagall
2 HOURS AGO

 
In reply to SligoBoland
It’s about money

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Rdp
2 HOURS AGO
lol doing horseshoe theory again?

"the left correctly identified republicans as fascists and republicans are fascists. same thing really"

embarrassing

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Steagall
1 HOUR AGO

 
In reply to Rdp
No, republicans are populists. They are a new party having replaced the old republican business oriented party. They are in danger of dissipating without a leader.
Their current leader, DJT, has some fascist characteristics and some billionaire-class characteristics, but Trump is rapidly losing sway.

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Elfede
3 HOURS AGO
(Edited)
A post Edward Bernays world was always going to be a more complex evolution than the imposition of his vision on the USA body politic over a hundred years ago.
At the heart of the matter, regardless of biased loyalty to a team colour t-shirt, is the total corruption of the political system.
Finding a solution to this will be near impossible, so I think the alternative for the USA is eventual political collapse, based on the country's inability to overcome its own internal contradictions.
What that collapse will imply with a heavily armed population, fragmented and radicalised by siloed thinking, is anybody's guess.
I wouldn't want to be in the USA when this happens.

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KLRJ
3 HOURS AGO
It's hard not to agree with most of the points in this article. But then I think of what we'd be facing if Harris or Biden were in the White House and it seems no better, albeit a different sort of bad. Even the most rabid Trump hater or Harris hater, if honest, has to admit that their alternative is bad.

Why does the US have such bad choices?

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Elfede
3 HOURS AGO

 
In reply to KLRJ
Choice is an illusion.
All we have are circumstances and consequences.

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Lane212
2 HOURS AGO
(Edited)

 
In reply to KLRJ
Ah yes, the old “equally bad” argument. Anyone with respect for law, science, diplomacy, and human rights couldn’t possibly choose Trump over Biden or Harris. You may believe that neither is perfect or even good, but they are not “equally bad.” Not even close. The list of horrific acts committed by Trump is too long to list, and that’s part of the strategy. People get overwhelmed and forget (or choose to forget). Please don’t peddle this nonsense false equivalence, it’s insulting to your and everyone else’s intelligence.

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KLRJ
1 HOUR AGO

 
In reply to Lane212
LOL, glad you got that off your chest. Joe Biden was the worst President in history and Kamala Harris would have been worse. I won't bother to list all Biden did, it's too painful to relive. Let's just say that Putin wouldn't be in Ukraine if Biden had never been in the White House and leave it at that

Send a copy of your manifesto when it's done, could use a good laugh.

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Pietrocco
3 HOURS AGO
Bayer buying Monsanto was like adopting a dragon and acting surprised when the house caught fire. It turned a corporate giant into the proud owner of the world’s most expensive self‑inflicted headache.

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Obed Marsh
3 HOURS AGO
We need bipartisan cooperation to excise Israel out of American politics. More Americans are waking up, but there is along way to go.

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Nuck Chorris
2 HOURS AGO

 
In reply to Obed Marsh
Good luck ! It s rooted deep …

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Macas
9 MINUTES AGO

 
In reply to Obed Marsh
What we need is an Israel that comes back to its senses and gets rid of the current administration. We need an Israel that aims for peace in the region, and we also need people here to stop demonising Israel as if the nation and all its people are collectively guilty for the atrocities of its government. I'm from a European country and my government wouldn't represent me should it commit war crimes.

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Port Askaig
3 HOURS AGO
(Edited)
The US desperately needs a new party, built from the ground up and with a distinct, positive manifesto - both the Democrats and Republicans have been ideologically captured by the donor class (big corporate lobby groups, billionaires, PACs and Super PACs with incredibly murky funding).

Washington is just dripping with what we should be calling bribery and corruption, and it's a grotesque distortion of what its democracy should look like - America is essentially a one party state, made up of the perpetual donor class administration.

What could this new party promise? Massive cuts in military spending to fund free at the point of use public healthcare, large investment in R&D, upgrades to the transport infrastructure to bring America into the high speed rail age, and so on.

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Mokedugway
3 HOURS AGO

 
In reply to Port Askaig
Sorry but entitlements is where the spending is concentrated, growing and problematic.

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Khalil Gibran
7 MINUTES AGO

 
In reply to Mokedugway
Perhaps the largest entitlements in the US may be found in the so-called “defense” budget that could be mostly welfare for wealthy war-mongering profiteering private contractors.

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Macas
5 MINUTES AGO

 
In reply to Port Askaig
The US needs to have political parties again, right now it has clans. To reform its political parties it can e.g. stop using primaries to choose candidates, that leads to more extreme views being promoted (appeal to the base), and not allow private funding of individual candidates, only of the party (discourage 'buying' voting positions of individual candidates).

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mram
4 HOURS AGO
(Edited)
For all the disagreements, the rot in American politics lies within the GOP more than Trump. The push for gutting voting rights, increasing authoritarianism, Christian right and lack of environmental regulations has been the blood of the GOP since the 1970s. Nixon’s Supreme Court was the first one to grant businesses a voice as citizens. The GOP found in Trump the most morally bankrupt person who was willing to execute their agenda to enrich himself. So no, the GOP has not turned against Trump, that’s a fallacy, they have Turned against America and they are winning the battles and the war to America’s and the world’s expense. For proof look at how both Congress and the House vote, America has effectively become a 1 party dictatorship.

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Mokedugway
3 HOURS AGO
(Edited)

 
In reply to mram
Visit California and witness the sad results of single party corruption.

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Lockean Disciple
3 HOURS AGO

 
In reply to Mokedugway
The post was about the GOP not California bud.

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Mokedugway
1 HOUR AGO

 
In reply to Lockean Disciple
Last two paragraphs indicate otherwise.
"Bud"? Some disciple!

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francach
4 HOURS AGO
A lot of false equivalence here. Republicans have a hard floor of ~30%, that's guns that's god that's anti-communist (which in America means the state, civil rights, environmental protection, post offices). We've been hearing about the fragmentation of the far-right for a decade while they only get more disciplined (after a fashion) and embedded

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kilohertz
4 HOURS AGO
Pre-midterm polls show declining support among faith voters and working people, indicating that many in the Maga base now see Trump for what he is: a rich charlatan, who is cosy with the companies moving their jobs abroad or polluting their water, and seems ready to send them to fight foreign wars.
The Iran war is likely to be deadly to Trump's presidency, since it's both a betrayal of his base and a breach of his "no new wars" promise, and also going to have real effects politically and economically in the US.

And he seems to have no way out of the war. Entrapped by Netanyahu and outplayed by the IRGC, he's likely to turn it into a "forever war", and just continue to bleed political capital and real capital.

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No knowledge is useless
4 HOURS AGO
The US would probably benefit from having more than two parties.

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Square Mile
4 HOURS AGO
This is all wishful thinking. Let’s see where we are in a year.

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Fauquemberges
4 HOURS AGO
The last three elections have featured a "centrist/pro-business candidate" on one side, and an "economic populist" on the other. Nothing new there.

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mram
4 HOURS AGO

 
In reply to Fauquemberges
Centrist?

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AMylesC
4 HOURS AGO
Sad that the MAHA moms had to settle for a callow opportunist like Booker. Shows thinness of Dem progressive populist bench. Article omits mention of Israel and AI/Data centers; salient examples of bipartisan grassroots coalition.

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DenMcco
4 HOURS AGO
The real re-alignment is when affluent “liberals” confront how punitive leftist governance actually is.
From taxation, inflation , open borders , anti -Semitism to DEI.
Trump is flawed but he still embodies the resistance to that madness.
Pity he will never end his obsession on tariffs

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BG99
4 HOURS AGO
Depose the Tyrant.

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Mr Rigsby
4 HOURS AGO
In the end you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. People will vote according to what they are experiencing. On the majority of issues which are important to the majority of people he has not only failed but he has tried to gaslight them.

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Mokedugway
3 HOURS AGO

 
In reply to Mr Rigsby
I am sad to report that you can in fact fool them with their own money.

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corporate_fly_on_the_wall
2 HOURS AGO

 
In reply to Mr Rigsby
As David Einhorn once wrote, you can definitely fool some people all of the time. Exhibit #1: the MAGA base.

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ExTrump Supporter
4 HOURS AGO
Don the Con, saw an opportunity to put a face to the Tea Party that was rising.

He rebranded it as MAGA and flew to the top -money and power can't change the fact the American system is in need of change, which will impact platforms on both the right and left.

I knew Trump could not be trusted to a second term; he set up America for the Big F+&#, which some still seem to be in the bent position, mostly Baby Boomers who have large stock holdings, they see a different reality unfortunately.

The Trump's, like most Presidential families are getting rich due to the power of the American government, the system is infuriating to any American who understands what is right and what seems to be self servicing

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Bcap
4 HOURS AGO
Oh.. who knew people on different sides could agree with one another and cooperate as they have some shared values... definitely not media houses and journalists hellbent on partisan divide.

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Longquest
5 HOURS AGO
They used to be called ‘religious voters’, but now it seems they have become ‘faith voters’. Why must the FT succumb so often to linguistic fads?

And ‘cheaper prices’ is just plain sloppy. ‘Lower prices’ please.

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American Person
5 HOURS AGO

 
In reply to Longquest
Cheap is good in America! And the faith thing? If you say it like that it becomes conveniently ambiguous as to what you have put your faith in…

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Just another man
2 HOURS AGO

 
In reply to American Person
There have not been any more despicable, hypocritical, anti- Christ, anti-good, anti-kindness, anti-decency, anti -humanity people in the history of the US than Franklin Graham, Ralph Reed, Jerry Falwell, and other assorted evangelical leaders and their followers. They have personified the very worst humans can ever be, and hugged Trump so tightly.

They are probably lucky because there is no real after life and no real hell and no real God. And one suspects they know that too and hence they were so brazen while taking the name of God at every turn

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Cities Licker
1 HOUR AGO

 
In reply to Just another man
Meanwhile Pope Leo has turned them into political footballs for his own ends.

Variations on a theme of evil.

My smugness as an atheist knows no bounds.

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Just another man
1 HOUR AGO

 
In reply to Cities Licker
What's his own end? Showing some small semblance of spine against the Don ? Speaking up for the immigrants being butchered by Ice Thugs?
Suggesting that wars serve no purpose ? Not being a tool of Bibi?

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roger thornhill
3 HOURS AGO

 
In reply to Longquest
they are writing for american readers (or their version of them).

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katkatkatkat
44 MINUTES AGO

 
In reply to Longquest
hear hear!

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American Person
5 HOURS AGO
Pro business centrist? That would be Gavin Newsom. But he won’t feature in the midterms. I can’t think of any Republican untarnished by association with this administration apart from Niki Hayley. She won’t feature in the midterms either.

I suspect the midterms will be refreshingly fought on local/state issues as they should be. But for the reasons set out in the article I am not expecting them to be kind to the Republican candidates.

That said there is another article in today’s issue about how the UK is on the cusp of becoming a seven party system. It was actually three parties when I was growing up back in England in the sixties but it’s really always been regarded as a two party system like America. So for all this realignment and blurring of political divides at least the USA is still identifiable as a two party system. The trick is to keep such broad churches in agreement with each other. And that’s always messy!

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SGA2
4 HOURS AGO

 
In reply to American Person
Probably the US will become a three (or more) party system within the next seven years. A free tipoff for the betting types.

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American Person
3 HOURS AGO

 
In reply to SGA2
And where is there the bandwidth for that to blossom?

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Mokedugway
3 HOURS AGO

 
In reply to American Person
Newsom is pro union over faux pro business theater. His state is the poster child for union corruption and special interest political funding.

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mlantz
5 HOURS AGO
There are no true Republican economic populists.

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journeywest
5 HOURS AGO
Maybe the center of dem and republicans can break to form a new party...

Part of the reason Trump won is many center left dems voted for him or did not actively support Harris

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GejbdoxirbqnKf
5 HOURS AGO

 
In reply to journeywest
The breakaway will die, and they know it.

What you are seeing is the dems transitioning to the center and the reds coalescing around the end of the horseshoe theory

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mlantz
5 HOURS AGO

 
In reply to journeywest
What is your evidence that center left democrats voted for Trump. That sounds like utter bull.

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journeywest
4 HOURS AGO

 
In reply to mlantz
Suburban women....especially mothers

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American Person
5 HOURS AGO

 
In reply to journeywest
Harris is very center so what are you saying?

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Jake
30 MINUTES AGO

 
In reply to American Person
This is "very centre"?
https://youtu.be/w4kowE_YIVw?si=dsWYpiF9A-ZtUMZk
Supporting taxpayer-funded sex changes for prisoners is "very centre"?

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Essex Gardener
4 HOURS AGO

 
In reply to journeywest
Part of the reason Trump won is that Democrats couldn't find anybody better than Harris or Biden. Perhaps the main reason.

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Viva Vulpus
3 HOURS AGO

 
In reply to Essex Gardener
They didn't try, to be somewhat fair.

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Bell47G
2 HOURS AGO

 
In reply to Essex Gardener
Entirely true. The race was theirs to lose. And they did.

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bellingpuss
5 HOURS AGO
Who cares? Russia, China the US - whats the difference?

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rabidlyambivalent
3 HOURS AGO

 
In reply to bellingpuss
US has better television

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